Before the FIFA World Cup kicked off, Spain and England were widely regarded as the tournament favourites. As the competition has progressed, however, France has emerged as the frontrunner. A major reason for this shift has been the outstanding form of Kylian Mbappé, who is locked in a neck-and-neck race for the Golden Boot with […]
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Earlier this January, we published our hypothetical equity index based on FIFA World Cup winning probabilities: the VIG Football World Cup Equity Portfolio Index. Its performance has been particularly strong, theoretically outperforming both the European EURO STOXX 50 Index and the U.S. S&P 500 Index. However, in June, VIG Asset Management did not want to […]
VIG Asset Management has prepared a new equity index for the FIFA World Cup. We created the hypothetical VIG Football World Cup Equity Portfolio Index by combining the stock market indices of the countries considered most likely to win the tournament. How did the process begin? You can find out in our previous articles. We […]
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Let the game begin – quotas have changed, VIG Football World Cup Equity Portfolio Index rebalanced
The FIFA World Cup has not even started yet, but bookmakers’ decisions have already led to continuously changing odds, reshaping the field. Based on these odds, we can derive implied probabilities. This logic underpins the hypothetical VIG Football World Cup Equity Portfolio Index. The index is a conceptual model portfolio that weights leading equity indices […]
What do betting odds tell us? Sports enthusiasts know that if you want to identify the favorites in a tournament, all you need to do is look at bookmakers’ odds. These figures are not just payout ratios – they also represent implied probabilities. Since they are formed by a broad market of actively engaged participants, […]
As the FIFA World Cup approaches, we do not only watch the matches – we also look at the odds. Behind bookmakers’ numbers lie probabilities, models, and expectations. This was our starting point when we created the concept of the hypothetical VIG Football World Cup Equity Portfolio Index. Our idea is simple: if we convert […]
In connection with the upcoming Football World Cup, at the beginning of 2026 we created the hypothetical VIG Football World Cup Equity Portfolio Index which is more than a creative reinterpretation of football odds – it is also a clearly structured hypothetical global equity portfolio. Its composition reveals which countries, regions, and economic sectors currently […]
Behind the World Cup’s winning probabilities lies an immense amount of analytical work: statistics, performance data, risk assessments, and expected outcomes. Exactly as in financial markets. This simple idea is the foundation of the VIG Football World Cup Equity Portfolio Index – an imaginary thematic equity portfolio that translates World Cup probabilities into the language […]